Pre-tourney Rankings
Stephen F. Austin
Southland
2014-15
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.7#46
Expected Predictive Rating+10.9#34
Pace69.1#105
Improvement+2.6#67

Offense
Total Offense+4.9#46
Improvement+2.5#56

Defense
Total Defense+4.9#46
Improvement+0.1#188
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.4 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round37.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen12.8% n/a n/a
Elite Eight2.5% n/a n/a
Final Four0.5% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 12 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 18, 2014 27   Northern Iowa L 77-79 OT 52%     0 - 1 +7.2 +4.6 +4.6
  Nov 21, 2014 24   @ Xavier L 63-81 29%     0 - 2 -2.6 +7.7 +7.7
  Nov 24, 2014 14   @ Baylor L 51-67 20%     0 - 3 +2.6 +9.3 +9.3
  Nov 27, 2014 297   Prairie View W 73-61 94%     1 - 3 +4.3 -3.9 -3.9
  Nov 28, 2014 317   Austin Peay W 83-62 96%     2 - 3 +11.1 -5.0 -5.0
  Dec 02, 2014 87   @ Memphis W 64-52 56%     3 - 3 +20.2 +4.1 +4.1
  Dec 05, 2014 137   Long Beach St. W 74-45 84%     4 - 3 +27.9 -0.5 -0.5
  Dec 14, 2014 232   North Texas W 59-48 93%     5 - 3 +4.3 -3.3 -3.3
  Dec 17, 2014 230   Texas St. W 66-60 93%     6 - 3 -0.6 -3.3 -3.3
  Dec 29, 2014 260   @ Cal St. Northridge W 61-57 87%     7 - 3 +1.4 -1.3 -1.3
  Jan 03, 2015 300   @ McNeese St. W 80-75 91%     8 - 3 1 - 0 +0.0 -2.5 -2.5
  Jan 05, 2015 314   SE Louisiana W 81-66 97%     9 - 3 2 - 0 +2.8 -6.1 -6.1
  Jan 13, 2015 349   @ Central Arkansas W 109-58 98%     10 - 3 3 - 0 +34.9 -8.0 -8.0
  Jan 17, 2015 338   @ Abilene Christian W 82-64 96%     11 - 3 4 - 0 +7.5 -5.2 -5.2
  Jan 19, 2015 309   New Orleans W 79-54 97%     12 - 3 5 - 0 +13.3 -5.8 -5.8
  Jan 24, 2015 104   @ Sam Houston St. W 79-68 61%     13 - 3 6 - 0 +17.9 +3.4 +3.4
  Jan 26, 2015 277   @ Lamar W 82-65 88%     14 - 3 7 - 0 +13.8 -1.6 -1.6
  Jan 31, 2015 223   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 61-51 92%     15 - 3 8 - 0 +3.9 -3.0 -3.0
  Feb 07, 2015 316   Houston Baptist W 95-59 97%     16 - 3 9 - 0 +23.2 -6.4 -6.4
  Feb 09, 2015 208   @ Northwestern St. W 93-82 80%     17 - 3 10 - 0 +11.7 +0.3 +0.3
  Feb 14, 2015 223   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 63-71 83%     17 - 4 10 - 1 -8.3 -0.2 -0.2
  Feb 16, 2015 225   @ Incarnate Word W 90-76 83%     18 - 4 11 - 1 +13.6 -0.2 -0.2
  Feb 21, 2015 328   Nicholls St. W 86-71 98%     19 - 4 12 - 1 +0.1 -7.4 -7.4
  Feb 23, 2015 277   Lamar W 103-74 95%     20 - 4 13 - 1 +20.1 -4.5 -4.5
  Feb 28, 2015 316   @ Houston Baptist W 102-87 93%     21 - 4 14 - 1 +8.0 -3.5 -3.5
  Mar 02, 2015 225   Incarnate Word W 83-62 92%     22 - 4 15 - 1 +14.8 -3.1 -3.1
  Mar 05, 2015 208   Northwestern St. W 92-66 91%     23 - 4 16 - 1 +20.9 -2.6 -2.6
  Mar 07, 2015 104   Sam Houston St. W 64-55 79%     24 - 4 17 - 1 +10.1 +0.6 +0.6
  Mar 13, 2015 208   Northwestern St. W 91-79 87%     25 - 4 +9.8 -1.1 -1.1
  Mar 14, 2015 104   Sam Houston St. W 83-70 71%     26 - 4 +17.0 +2.0 +2.0
Projected Record 26.0 - 4.0 17.0 - 1.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 100.0    100.0
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 11.4 0.0 0.1 1.3 7.1 41.5 48.4 1.7
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 11.4 0.0 0.1 1.3 7.1 41.5 48.4 1.7